Will Greece Hold?

Unit labor costs in Greece and Germany (1998 = 100). Source: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Many eyes are now set on Greece: the eurozone underperformer. The question is – will Greece hold or succumb to pressures due to its huge fiscal deficit?

Nobody knows. Edward Hugh does a very good job disclosing the dirty play of Greek politicians that want maximum support from the EU with minimum reform. This mindset is not sustainable – it sent Greece into trouble in the first place. But the Greek example is a very good sign of the times. Reactive politicians are slow thinkers and they do too little, too late.

Bailing out Greece seems more and more probable.

Comment: It has become very difficult to choose a reserve currency. The dollar is well, in the red, while the euro is shaky due to Greece.

Who can profit: Anyone with a crystal ball. Otherwise pay attention to the Swiss franc, gold, and the Brazilian real.

Who can lose: Everyone without a crystal ball. But exporters around the world face some really hard challenges and rising currency hedging costs.

0 коментара:

Публикуване на коментар